Spain is heading for a warmer-than-usual start to summer, with above-average temperatures expected across the entire country between May and July, according to the State Meteorological Agency (Aemet).

Aemet says there is a strong chance of above-average heat, especially along the Cantabrian coast and Mediterranean regions, where the probability reaches 60%.

In the rest of mainland Spain, the likelihood stands at 50%, while in the Canary Islands it is slightly lower at 40%.

The agency clarified that ‘normal’ refers to average values recorded between 1991 and 2020.

However, it also stressed that the forecast applies to the overall three-month period, meaning there could still be short spells of cooler or hotter weather within that timeframe.

Rainfall less predictable

Rainfall patterns are less certain, though some regions may see wetter conditions than usual.

There is a 40% probability of increased rainfall in the northeast and eastern parts of the peninsula, as well as in both the Balearic and Canary Islands.

In contrast, no clear trend has been identified for the rest of Spain, with Aemet warning that precipitation forecasts carry a higher degree of uncertainty.

The outlook follows a record-breaking April, which was the warmest on record in Spain, reinforcing concerns that unusually high temperatures are arriving earlier in the year.