Pedro Sanchez would be out of a job if a general election were held tomorrow, a new poll has suggested.
The survey by polling firm DYM gives the ruling PSOE just 27% of the vote, translating to a maximum of 108 seats, and well short of the 176 majority needed to form a government.
Meanwhile, the conservative Partido Popular is predicted to get 34.9% of the vote, up slightly from May, which would translate into between 145 and 149 seats in parliament.
While the PP also falls short, it could count on the support of hard-right Vox, which continues its recent upward trend, climbing to 16.5% of the predicted vote (55 to 57 seats).
The survey suggests Sanchez continues to lose support following weeks dominated by corruption investigations involving people close to him.
The poll found that PSOE’s junior coalition partner, Sumar, would suffer the biggest collapse, plunging from 5.7% to just 3.8%, which would leave the party with only five or six MPs.
Podemos, by contrast, would edge up slightly to 4.1%, giving it between three and four seats.
The survey was conducted during a period dominated by legal cases involving figures close to Sanchez, including the conviction of his brother David Sanchez, the decision to send his wife Begoña Gomez to trial before a jury, and continuing scrutiny surrounding former Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero.

Sanchez tied with Feijoo as preferred PM
The poll also suggests confidence in Spain’s political leaders remains weak across the board.
Asked who they would prefer as prime minister, 35.9% chose Pedro Sanchez, while 35.6% backed PP leader Alberto Nuñez Feijoo, effectively leaving the pair tied.
However, 53.5% of respondents said the PSOE should replace Sanchez before the next election, with only around one in three believing he should remain the party’s candidate.
Among possible successors, Castilla-La Mancha president Emiliano Garcia-Page emerged as the clear favourite, backed by 24.7% of respondents.
Former PSOE politician Eduardo Madina was a distant second on 7.7%, followed by Transport Minister Oscar Puente on 7%.
The survey also found that 60.9% of respondents said they found Zapatero’s defence of his conduct ‘not very’ or ‘not at all’ credible, while 61.8% believe the government and PSOE should stop publicly defending his innocence.
The next Spanish general election is currently scheduled for July 2027, unless Sanchez calls an early vote.
