Pedro Sanchez would remain as prime minister of Spain if an election was held tomorrow, a new poll has shown.
According to the latest survey from the CIS, the PSOE remains well ahead, but has slipped slightly, opening the door for the opposition People’s Party (Partido Popular) to claw back some ground.
The Socialists now sit on 31.8% of the vote, while the PP has edged up to 23.3%, narrowing the gap to around eight points.
Meanwhile, hard-right party Vox has taken a noticeable knock, dropping more than two points in just a month – down to 16.6%.
Meanwhile, smaller parties are struggling to make gains. Sumar is holding steady at 7.1%, while Podemos continues to slide, falling to just 2.9%.
Even outsider party Se Acabo la Fiesta – led by controversial MEP Luis ‘Alvise’ Pérez – has dipped slightly.
The poll was carried out during a turbulent period, with the Iran conflict escalating, fuel prices rising, and Sanchez reviving the ‘No to the war’ message.
It also coincided with regional political campaigning, adding further volatility to voter sentiment.
Despite the shifting numbers, Sanchez remains the clear favourite to lead Spain.
He’s the preferred choice for 25.7% of voters, far ahead of PP leader Alberto Nuñez Feijoo (9.8%) and Vox’s Santiago Abascal (9.4%).
Even on personal ratings, Sanchez comes out on top – scoring 4.43 out of 10, ahead of Yolanda Diaz and Feijoo, while Abascal trails at the bottom.
On the left, things are far less stable. Infighting and attempts to ‘rebuild’ the political space – including moves by Gabriel Rufian – appear to be hurting Podemos in particular.
Regional parties show mixed fortunes, with ERC ahead of Junts, while Bildu continues to outperform the PNV.
With rivals slowly gaining ground and smaller parties fragmenting, Spain’s political landscape is looking increasingly unpredictable.
