Support for hard-right party Vox is surging in Andalucia, latest polls show – particularly among young people.
A new poll by Gesop for Prensa Iberica suggests Santiago Abascal’s party could almost double its seats in the regional parliament, putting it neck and neck with the PSOE for second place.
After a low-profile legislature overshadowed by the PP’s absolute majority, Vox appears to be riding a national wave that is now translating into serious regional momentum.
Youth vote fuelling the surge
The poll indicates Vox has built a strong base among young Andalucians, with the party brand – rather than its relatively unknown regional leader Manuel Gavira – driving support.
In provinces such as Almeria, Granada and Malaga, Vox is closing the gap with the PSOE and in some cases threatening to overtake it.
Digital media expert and professor at the University of Barcelona, Juan Diaz Noci, previously told the Spanish Eye that he was ‘concerned’ by the young’s lurch to the far right.
He said there is a growing ‘radicalisation’ among young people in Spain and Europe due to their growing distrust of ‘legacy media’, which they view as being the ‘voice of the elite.’
He added: ‘Young people right now are going to be worse off than their parents and grandparents and they are angry and disenfranchised.
‘Despite being better educated and knowing multiple languages, they cannot afford a home and fewer jobs are available, they are really frustrated, and many of them want to just break things.’
This frustration, Noci said, makes them more open to supporting extreme parties out of desperation.
‘Many are becoming radicalised,’ he said, ‘I worry for the future if young people continue to feel ignored.’
PP steady while PSOE bleeding support
Juanma Moreno’s PP still holds strong loyalty among its voters, and recent crisis management – including the Adamuz tragedy and severe storms – appears to have reinforced his leadership image.
But the PP majority is no longer guaranteed.
The real warning signs are for the PSOE, now led in Andalucia by Maria Jesus Montero.
The party retains only around half of its previous voters and is losing support in multiple directions – to the PP, to Vox and even to smaller left-wing platforms.
Perhaps most worrying is that only around 40% of PSOE voters say they want Montero as regional president.
Older voters and women remain the PSOE’s strongest defensive line against Vox, but the broader picture suggests declining mobilisation.
Fragmented left risks irrelevance
To the left of the PSOE, division remains a major problem. Three separate ballots mean the D’Hondt electoral system could punish smaller parties, with some votes failing to convert into seats at all.
If the current trends hold, Andalucia could witness a dramatic reshuffle:
- PP majority in doubt
- Vox surging into serious contention
- PSOE struggling to regain ground
- The broader left splintered
Whether the polls translate into ballots will only be known when the urns open in June.
Read more Andalucia news at the Spanish Eye.
